Royal & SunAlliance Chase Betting Guide

Royal & SunAlliance Chase Profile

(Rescheduled to Thursday 13th March - 1.05pm) - Full race entry list

The Royal & SunAlliance Chase is the Championship test for staying novice chasers, with 19 fences of the old course to be jumped. Run at a distance of just over three miles, it is often the springboard for a Gold Cup challenge the following season, with Looks Like Trouble the last horse to do the double in 1999 and 2000.

The market for this year's renewal features several horses with multiple options. Tidal Bay would probably be favourite but connections are still flirting with the Arkle, and his early season victim Albertas Run leapfrogged to the head of the betting with a defeat of Air Force One at Ascot.

RACE TRENDS:

  • 30 of the last 33 winners won or finished second last time out
  • 11 of the last 12 winners were rated below 134 over hurdles
  • The last 16 Reynoldstown winners to run have been beaten (4 horses beaten in that race have won)
  • All 15 Feltham winners have been beaten (5 horses beaten in that race have won)
  • No winner over eight since 1992
  • Only 2 six year olds have won since 1978
  • Only 2 Irish victories since 1985 (both trained by Willie Mullins)
  • 4 of the 6 Willie Mullins runners have finished in the first two

Royal & SunAlliance Chase Trials

Click the video links to see youtube race footage.
Oddschecker is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.
DateCourseRaceNameVideo
17/02/2008NavanTen Up Novice ChasePomme Tiepy, Kilcrea Castle, Sandhurst youtube
16/02/2008WincantonBathwick Tyres Bridgwater Novices' ChaseStarzaan, Duc De Regniere youtube
16/02/2008AscotReynoldstown Novices' ChaseAlbertas Run, Air Force One, Battlecry, Joe Lively youtube
10/02/2008LeopardstownDr PJ Moriarty Novice ChaseJ'y Vole, Thyne Again, Notre Pere youtube
09/02/2008NewburyTotesport.com Novices' ChaseOrnais, Here's Johnny youtube
02/02/2008DoncasterWilliamhill.co.uk Novices' ChaseTidal Bay youtube
02/02/2008SandownScilly Isles Novice ChaseSilverburn, The Market Man, Wee Robbie youtube
27/01/2008LeopardstownBaileys Arkle Novice ChaseThyne Again, Gardasee, Drunken Disorderly, Secretofshambhala, Scotsirish youtube
27/01/2008LeopardstownWoodlands Park Novice ChasePomme Tiepy, Kilcrea Castle, Notre Pere youtube
24/01/2008Gowran ParkIrish Stallion Farms Novice ChaseJ'y Vole youtube
24/01/2008FontwellCrown Racing Novices' ChaseAir Force One youtube
16/01/2008NewcastleSpringfield Honda Graduation ChaseNegus De Beaumont youtube
04/01/2008Lingfieldlingfieldpark.co.uk Beginners' ChaseDuc De Regniere youtube
01/01/2008Cheltenham'Dipper' Novices' ChaseNudge And Nurdle, Okaido
28/12/2007LeopardstownKnight Frank Ganly Walters Novice ChaseNotre Pere, Secretofshambhala, Drunken Disorderly youtube
26/12/2007KemptonFeltham Novices' ChaseJoe Lively, Here's Johnny, Silverburn youtube
21/12/2007AscotBgc Noel Novices' ChaseHobbs Hill, Battlecry youtube
15/12/2007CheltenhamFon-a-bet Novices' ChaseTidal Bay, Gold Medallist, Duc De Regniere, Nudge And Nurdle
02/12/2007NewburyMarshall's Peugeot Novices' ChaseJoe Lively, Here's Johnny
02/12/2007FairyhouseDrinmore Novice ChaseDrunken Disorderly youtube
30/11/2007NewburyAIS Fire Tech Novices' ChaseHobbs Hill, Silverburn, Battlecry, Air Force One
18/11/2007CarlisleTurftv Novices' ChaseTidal Bay
28/10/2007AintreeBonusprint.com Novices' ChaseTidal Bay, Albertas Run

Royal & SunAlliance Chase Results

Click the video links to see youtube race footage.
Oddschecker is not responsible for the content of external internet sites.
YearWinnerAgeSPDistanceTimeGoingFormRatingTrainerJockeyVideo
2007Denman76/5F10L6.06.80Good/Soft1111165Paul NichollsRuby Walsh youtube
2006Star De Mohaison514/16L6.09.20Good1231153Paul NichollsBarry Geraghty
2005Trabolgan75/13L6.12.85GoodP-122160Nicky HendersonMick Fitzgerald youtube
2004Rule Supreme825/11 3/4L6.09.70Good1322161Willie MullinsDavid Casey youtube
2003One Knight715/21 3/4L6.14.90Good1311159Philip HobbsRichard Johnson youtube
2002Hussard Collonges733/12L6.35.65Good/Soft21F2156Peter BeaumontRuss Garritty
2001No Race
2000Lord Noelie79/21 3/4L6.05.30Good4-212154Henrietta KnightJim Culloty
1999Looks Like Trouble716/1Distance6.21.70Good/Soft2511170Noel ChancePaul Carberry youtube
1998Florida Pearl611/8F1 1/2L6.08.30Good11-11167Willie MullinsRichard Dunwoody youtube
1997Hanakham813/22 1/2L6.09.00Good/Firm1U3159Ron HodgesRichard Dunwoody
1996Nahthen Lad77/18L6.22.50Good/Soft2112157Jenny PitmanWarren Marston
1995Brief Gale813/29L6.28.80Soft5-231161Josh GiffordPhilip Hide
1994Monsieur Le Cure815/23L6.18.30Good/Soft2111159John EdwardsPeter Niven youtube
1993Young Hustler69/23L6.11.70Good/Firm1112145Nigel Twiston-DaviesPeter Scudamore
1992Miinnehoma97/2F1/2L6.06.50Good14-11159Martin PipePeter Scudamore youtube
1991Rolling Ball87/2F2 1/2L6.15.90Good/Soft4/171143Martin PipePeter Scudamore
1990Garrison Savannah712/15L6.08.70Good5212150Jenny PitmanBen de Haan

Connections Comments

Air Force One

"He jumped well there. I went down to watch him at the last and he was awesome. I have always thought he is decent and we have given him plenty of time. Noel said he has had an easy race and if he comes out of it well we may well go the Reynoldstown at Ascot on the way to the SunAlliance. He is a serious horse - but he will need to be to take on Kauto Star and Denman next year!"
Charlie Mann
24th January 2008

Albertas Run

"It was a good performance after a lay-off - he liked the ground and he got a great ride. I was pleased to see that he jumped well and after that he'd have to go to the Festival. He did win at Cheltenham earlier in the year and he'd be entitled to have a crack at the SunAlliance now, but he would want good ground."
Jonjo O'Neill
16th February 2008

Duc De Regniere

"Mick is delighted with him. It is only the sixth time he has seen a racecourse and he needs to learn. We found him something relatively simple and we think he will be a better horse in a more competitive race now. We will go quietly with him, keeping him out of graded company for one more race, but I'd like to think that is where he belongs."
Nicky Henderson
4th January 2008

"We believe he'll be a high-class chaser, and I think he was one of the horses who changed Mick Fitzgerald's mind over retirement. He hadn't shown us a lot at home prior to running at Newbury, but he won well and followed up at Kempton. He took his chancein the Ballymore Properties, but probably wasn't quite mature enough for that challenge. He was bought to replace Isio for the Gibbings, and he may well prove top class over fences."
Nicky Henderson
Stable Tour - October 2007

Joe Lively

"He's come back fine, absolutely 100% - he just ran a bit flat. He was only a length and a half behind the Welsh National third (Over The Creek) and in that top grade of racing, he just wasn't 100% on the job. He wasn't travelling after a mile and looked slow. I don't think watered ground in the middle of winter helped him. They watered and there was a hard frost and it made the ground tacky. I thought we had seen the end of watered ground in the summer. There's still all to play for at Cheltenham and the Royal & SunAlliance will be his next race."
Colin Tizzard
17th February 2008

"We fired him after he got heat in a leg and the aim when we got him back was to go summer jumping last year. He was a only a very light-framed horse and although he's still not very big, he's really filled out and despite all of his runs he's actually got stronger. The first time he won at Cheltenham we just thought one or two of the others might under-perform but he won so well and he's done it twice there now. He's a seriously good horse and although he looked like he was lugging a bit at Kempton last time, it didn't stop him and he still stayed on. His next target will be the Reynoldstown at Ascot (February 16) and we'll then head for the SunAlliance."
Colin Tizzard
22nd January 2008

“He was bloody awesome. He still shows us nothing at all at home, but we are going to have to start setting him up for the Royal & SunAlliance Chase now. He is better on good ground but he showed last time at Newbury that he can act when it is horrible. We can't keep running him every three weeks between now and the festival, so we may just give him one run before March.”
Colin Tizzard
14th December 2007

Jy Vole

"At the moment I'm not inclined to go to Cheltenham. I'm looking at the Powers Gold Cup, a Grade One two-and-a-half-mile chase at Fairyhouse over Easter. I do not think I want to run her in the SunAlliance and I'll have a close look at the Arkle maybe. If she's going to go anywhere, that could be it. What I could do is enter her in the mares hurdle in Cheltenham so I've got to look at that race as well. I've said all along it's not my priority to go to Cheltenham with her."
Willie Mullins
17th February 2008

“The way she runs you would think that she'd be too hard on herself in a SunAlliance and I don't know if she's quick enough to come down in trip for the Arkle. She worked very ordinarily with Our Bob on Thursday, and when he was well beaten in the novice hurdle I thought we had no chance. If it was an ordinary race we wouldn't have run. Everything went wrong and it was an extraordinary performance to win, she galloped away and didn't drop the bit until the back straight, she hung right and jumped right, and gave Ruby a horrible ride. When the other horse went past her it would have sickened most horses.”
Willie Mullins
10th February 2008

Notre Pere

"He's OK (after fall at Leopardstown). There was some way to go but everything was going fine and he just got one wrong. Those things happen. He may run on Sunday week over two-mile-five back at Leopardstown or over three miles at Navan the following Sunday. He'll only go to Cheltenham if he's good enough. It would also hinge a bit on the ground. On quick I don't think we'd go, but anything approaching soft he may."
Jim Dreaper
1st February 2008

Ornais

"We have always thought of him as a nice staying chaser who could run well in a SunAllliance but never thought of him as one who would win one. The intention is to run with Silverburn."
Paul Nicholls
20th February 2008

"He's slow and he just stays and jumps. His last run at Cheltenham was too bad to be true and he might not have been right. Aintree and Punchestown would really suit him but the SunAlliance looks open and with that kind of weight-carrying performance he would be in there with a chance - I'm not ruling it in or out."
Paul Nicholls
9th February 2008

Pomme Tiepy

"I've had mixed feelings all along about whether going for the SunAlliance with this mare would be the right thing to do. She likes ease in the ground and, anyway, I'm finding it hard to decide whether running her in the Cheltenham race, at this stage of her career, would be a wise thing to do. We'll have to have a good think about it and I'll be talking to the owners. She jumps well enough for the Arkle but she mightn't be quick enough for that race. A plus for maybe running in the SunAlliance is the fact that unlike our other good novice mare J'y Vole, who is quite highly strung, Pomme Tiepy is very relaxed and has been taking her races well. Even if we decided to finish her season now, she would have done more than enough. I honestly don't know what we are going to do with her."
Willie Mullins
17th February 2008

"She might not run at Cheltenham at all, although she would have a huge weight allowance in the SunAlliance. I don't know if I'd want to run her on quicker ground at Cheltenham, though. I need to sit down and think about plans because I also have J'Y Vole and she is another possible for Cheltenham, but she is another that might not go there at all. She could go to the Powers Gold Cup."
Willie Mullins
27th January 2008

Silverburn

"He was a litte disappointing in the Feltham over Christmas where it looked like he didn't stay, however it was Ruby's first ride back over fences and tactically we could have have got it wrong. He got caught flat-footed when they sprinted in a slowly-run race and I am adamant he stays three miles. We made more use of him at Sandown last time when he jumped very well. The emphasis on stamina and jumping in the Royal & SunAlliance will suit him and I honestly don't feel we have ever had him any better. I am really looking forward to running him and feel he has an outstanding chance."
Paul Nicholls
20th February 2008

"That was always his race today as the ground was right for him. Hobbs Hill coming out made it a bit easier and we thought we would ride him more positively because he jumps so well. He is in the Arkle and the Sun Alliance but the only way he would run in the Arkle was if it was absolutely bottomless on the first day, which never happens thesedays, so it is highly likely he will run in the Sun Alliance. It might look doubtful but he does stay and three miles round Cheltenham will suit him. At Kempton last time I think he could have winged on down the back straight and got the race won. I don't mind them being ridden like that rather than taking a pull and being done for toe so we rode him positively today."
Paul Nicholls
2nd February 2008

"My view is that he wants to go back in trip. He has so much jumping ability and speed that two and a half miles might be ideal for him, so I would be looking at the Scilly Isles."
Paul Nicholls
26th December 2007

"Brother to Denman, but whereas that one is chalk, this one is cheese. Denman takes stacks of work, Silverburn doesn't, and you have to go careful with him. He wants his races nicely spaced out. After winning the Tolworth impressively, we fancied him to run a big race in the Ballymore Properties over five furlongs further, but he was always flat out. He disappointed when up again in trip at Aintree, but we found he was suffering with bad stomach ulcers. Looks great at present and the aim is to have him ready for a 2m4f novice chase at Newbury's Hennessy meeting. I beg to differ slightly with his owner Paul Green in that I think he wants a trip; the whole family stay well, and I could see him ending up in the Royal & SunAlliance Chase.
Paul Nicholls
Stable Tour - October 2007

Starzaan

"That was great. It's been a real team effort with him, and the critical thing is that the owners have been prepared to wait. He's had lots of problems but he's a proper horse. He was not far off the best over hurdles and would have gone chasing last year but we had to back off with him in November (2006) as he had a problem. The Royal & SunAlliance Chase at Cheltenham has been his target for two years and that is where he will go, with no more than one more run before."
Hughie Morrison
5th January 2008

Tidal Bay

"We were going to run him last weekend at Ascot, but it was too heavy. We have got to be patient and and see if we can find one on decent ground and if not, go straight to Cheltenham. I'll leave the decision as to which race to go for up to Howard (Johnson) and he'll make his mind up. Last year he chose between the Ballymore and Supreme the weekend before Cheltenham and while that's not much good to ante-post punters, I think that it will probably be the same again."
Graham Wylie
25th January 2008

"We could go either way now - two or three miles - and all he wants is an end-to-end gallop. He is buzzy and excitable, but he always has been since day one and he only made the mistakes as they were going too slow. When I bought him from Alistair Charlton he said I would win an Arkle with this horse, and I just laughed at him - but now I am thinking he was right, although Arcalis is a possible for that too. We will just take it day by day with him but I will look to find another novice race for him and he could then go to Cheltenham in January but he won't have a hard season."
Howard Johnson
29th October 2007

"He is a lovely horse but was a bit novicey last time at Carlisle, so we brought him down here to give him some more experience. He has jumped well apart from a couple of novicey mistakes and he does want better ground. He has a very high cruising speed and it wouldn't bother him dropping back to two miles. I'll try and give him another race before the Festival, hopefully around the end of January, and he will be entered in both the SunAlliance and the Arkle as an end-to-end gallop will suit him."
Howard Johnson
15th December 2007